Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.021809 0.023433 0.025124 0.027019 0.029085 0.031272 0.033764
2024-10-20 0.018719 0.021000 0.023499 0.026449 0.029845 0.033646 0.038239
2024-10-27 0.017093 0.019813 0.022910 0.026716 0.031291 0.036644 0.043424
2024-11-03 0.015761 0.018751 0.022264 0.026724 0.032277 0.039018 0.047903
2024-11-10 0.014867 0.018089 0.021975 0.027053 0.033576 0.041757 0.052932
2024-11-17 0.013836 0.017155 0.021251 0.026734 0.033966 0.043300 0.056454
2024-11-24 0.013043 0.016449 0.020741 0.026614 0.034553 0.045074 0.060343
2024-12-01 0.012253 0.015688 0.020095 0.026247 0.034751 0.046291 0.063495
2024-12-08 0.011715 0.015218 0.019791 0.026300 0.035490 0.048259 0.067805
2024-12-15 0.011087 0.014588 0.019229 0.025948 0.035620 0.049345 0.070865
2024-12-22 0.010463 0.013927 0.018584 0.025433 0.035467 0.049987 0.073268
2024-12-29 0.009988 0.013445 0.018159 0.025197 0.035689 0.051168 0.076547
2025-01-05 0.009533 0.012974 0.017730 0.024937 0.035867 0.052303 0.079859
2025-01-12 0.009019 0.012396 0.017119 0.024374 0.035549 0.052650 0.081911
2025-01-19 0.008781 0.012200 0.017047 0.024607 0.036456 0.054947 0.087327
2025-01-26 0.008494 0.011920 0.016837 0.024612 0.036996 0.056679 0.091901
2025-02-02 0.008308 0.011779 0.016821 0.024910 0.038011 0.059233 0.098077
2025-02-09 0.007979 0.011408 0.016444 0.024620 0.038050 0.060158 0.101416
2025-02-16 0.007716 0.011128 0.016191 0.024511 0.038374 0.061573 0.105734
2025-02-23 0.007415 0.010776 0.015812 0.024179 0.038301 0.062291 0.108799
2025-03-02 0.007223 0.010584 0.015672 0.024227 0.038870 0.064155 0.114162
2025-03-09 0.006956 0.010265 0.015320 0.023907 0.038785 0.064845 0.117293
2025-03-16 0.006670 0.009908 0.014892 0.023440 0.038415 0.064992 0.119351